Game number 3

The score (after 2 games) is: Johan Segers 1, Misja Alma 1 (match to 9 points)

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Match Information

Datejanuari 03, 2009
EventMasters
Round3
PlaceAntwerpen, Belgium
AnnotatorMisja Alma

Move number 1: Johan Segers to play 24

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|5O ' ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       2 4       | 1 |                 |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 167, Misja Alma 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MAAxARAACAAA

• Johan Segers moves 8/4 6/4

# Ply Move MWC
• 1 0 8/4 6/4 51,20%
  0,548 0,172 0,009 - 0,452 0,121 0,005  
  2 0 13/11 13/9 50,29% ( -0,91%)
  0,509 0,155 0,009 - 0,491 0,137 0,007  
  3 0 24/20 13/11 50,28% ( -0,92%)
  0,513 0,137 0,007 - 0,487 0,132 0,004  
  4 0 24/22 13/9 50,21% ( -0,99%)
  0,508 0,142 0,007 - 0,492 0,134 0,004  
  5 0 24/22 24/20 49,95% ( -1,25%)
  0,501 0,121 0,006 - 0,499 0,133 0,003  

Move number 2: Misja Alma to play 44

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|5O ' ' '2X '|   |4X '2X ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 4       |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '2X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 161, Misja Alma 167
Position ID: mGfwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAkyARAACAAA

• Misja Alma moves 24/20(2) 13/9(2)

Alert: lucky roll! (+2,883%)

# Ply Move MWC
• 1 2 24/20(2) 13/9(2) 52,02%
  0,586 0,150 0,005 - 0,414 0,073 0,001  
  2 2 24/20(2) 8/4(2) 51,27% ( -0,75%)
  0,548 0,150 0,006 - 0,452 0,089 0,002  
  3 2 24/20(2) 6/2(2) 51,24% ( -0,78%)
  0,551 0,136 0,005 - 0,449 0,085 0,002  
  4 0 24/16(2) 50,70% ( -1,32%)
  0,546 0,089 0,004 - 0,454 0,102 0,002  
  5 0 24/20(2) 13/5 50,56% ( -1,46%)
  0,519 0,129 0,007 - 0,481 0,098 0,003  

Annotation
Het 4-punt maken is hier niet goed want daarvoor moet je je eigen 8-punt weer opgeven.

Move number 3: Johan Segers to play 54

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' ' '2X '|   |4X2O2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       5 4       | 1 |                 |
|5X ' '2O3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 161, Misja Alma 151
Position ID: 4HPDAQOYZ/ABMA Match ID: MIEyARAACAAA

• Johan Segers moves 24/20 13/8

# Ply Move MWC
• 1 3 24/20 13/8 47,81%
  0,413 0,073 0,001 - 0,587 0,154 0,005  
  2 3 24/15 47,53% ( -0,28%)
  0,403 0,060 0,001 - 0,597 0,163 0,004  
  3 2 13/9 13/8 47,73% ( -0,08%)
  0,406 0,080 0,001 - 0,594 0,159 0,005  
  4 2 13/4 47,51% ( -0,30%)
  0,400 0,077 0,001 - 0,600 0,169 0,005  
  5 2 13/8 6/2 47,47% ( -0,34%)
  0,399 0,077 0,001 - 0,601 0,171 0,006  

Move number 4: Misja Alma to play 53

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' ' '3X '|   |4X2O2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       5 3       |
|4X ' '2O3O '|   |5O1X ' ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 152, Misja Alma 151
Position ID: mOfgASHgc8MBAw Match ID: cIkuARAACAAA

• Misja Alma moves 8/3 6/3

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless MWC 51,50%(Money: +0,259)
 0,587 0,154 0,005 - 0,413 0,073 0,001
Cubeful equities:
1.No double 52,19% 
2.Double, pass 55,61% 3,42%
3.Double, take 51,40% -0,79%
Proper cube action:No double, take (18,8%)

 

# Ply Move MWC
• 1 2 8/3 6/3 51,68%
  0,571 0,133 0,004 - 0,429 0,066 0,001  
  2 2 13/5* 50,90% ( -0,78%)
  0,532 0,140 0,005 - 0,468 0,092 0,002  
  3 0 8/5* 6/1* 50,58% ( -1,10%)
  0,519 0,149 0,006 - 0,481 0,114 0,003  
  4 0 13/8 6/3 50,46% ( -1,21%)
  0,515 0,112 0,003 - 0,485 0,084 0,001  
  5 0 13/10 6/1* 49,88% ( -1,80%)
  0,489 0,112 0,003 - 0,511 0,103 0,002  

Annotation
Ik twijfelde over slaan met 13/5* maar dat kan misschien de volgende beurt ook nog.

Move number 5: Johan Segers to play 65

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' ' '3X '|   |4X2O2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       6 5       | 1 |                 |
|4X ' '2O2O '|   |4O1X '2O '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 152, Misja Alma 143
Position ID: jGfDAQOY5+ABIQ Match ID: MAE3ARAACAAA

• Johan Segers moves 24/13

Alert: doubtful move (-0,377%)

# Ply Move MWC
  1 3 20/9 47,78%
  0,414 0,071 0,002 - 0,586 0,172 0,005  
• 2 3 24/13 47,41% ( -0,38%)
  0,407 0,058 0,001 - 0,593 0,178 0,004  
  3 2 20/14 13/8 47,79% ( 0,00%)
  0,418 0,072 0,001 - 0,582 0,174 0,004  
  4 2 20/15 13/7 47,47% ( -0,31%)
  0,408 0,079 0,002 - 0,592 0,203 0,008  
  5 2 13/2 47,47% ( -0,32%)
  0,405 0,086 0,002 - 0,595 0,193 0,007  

Move number 6: Misja Alma to play 64

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' ' '3X '|   |4X2O2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 4       |
|5X ' '2O2O '|   |4O1X '2O ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 141, Misja Alma 143
Position ID: mOfgAwKMZ8MBAw Match ID: cAkzARAACAAA

• Misja Alma moves 13/3

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless MWC 51,80%(Money: +0,309)
 0,593 0,178 0,004 - 0,407 0,058 0,001
Cubeful equities:
1.No double 52,59% 
2.Double, pass 55,61% 3,01%
3.Double, take 52,01% -0,58%
Proper cube action:No double, take (16,2%)

 

# Ply Move MWC
• 1 3 13/3 50,88%
  0,526 0,106 0,002 - 0,474 0,049 0,001  
  2 3 13/7 9/5* 50,74% ( -0,14%)
  0,507 0,163 0,003 - 0,493 0,094 0,003  
  3 2 8/4 8/2 51,15% ( 0,26%)
  0,544 0,095 0,002 - 0,456 0,036 0,001  
  4 2 9/5* 9/3 51,00% ( 0,12%)
  0,523 0,153 0,003 - 0,477 0,072 0,001  
  5 2 8/2 6/2 50,75% ( -0,14%)
  0,517 0,117 0,002 - 0,483 0,051 0,001  

Annotation
Ik twijfelde hier weer over slaan want ik wilde Johan niet zomaar laten ontsnappen, maar 13/7 9/5* laat te veel schoten en blots.

Move number 7: Johan Segers to play 41

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|2O ' ' '3X '|   |4X2O2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       4 1       | 1 |                 |
|5X ' '2O2O '|   |4O1X '3O ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 141, Misja Alma 133
Position ID: HM+GAQOY5+ADAg Match ID: MAEmARAACAAA

• Johan Segers moves 13/8

# Ply Move MWC
• 1 2 13/8 48,33%
  0,445 0,056 0,001 - 0,555 0,149 0,002  
  2 2 8/3 47,90% ( -0,43%)
  0,429 0,070 0,002 - 0,571 0,185 0,004  
  3 2 6/1 47,48% ( -0,84%)
  0,411 0,069 0,001 - 0,589 0,196 0,003  
  4 0 13/9 8/7 47,33% ( -0,99%)
  0,408 0,076 0,002 - 0,592 0,227 0,008  
  5 0 8/7 6/2 47,11% ( -1,22%)
  0,400 0,074 0,002 - 0,600 0,242 0,007  

Move number 8: Misja Alma to play 66

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|2O ' ' '4X '|   |4X2O2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 6       |
|4X ' '2O2O '|   |4O1X '3O ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 136, Misja Alma 133
Position ID: mOfBAwIcz4YBAw Match ID: cAk7ARAACAAA

• Misja Alma moves 20/14(2) 13/7(2)

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless MWC 51,58%(Money: +0,271)
 0,583 0,150 0,002 - 0,417 0,048 0,001
Cubeful equities:
1.No double 52,20% 
2.Double, pass 55,61% 3,41%
3.Double, take 51,54% -0,66%
Proper cube action:No double, take (16,3%)

 

Alert: lucky roll! (+3,170%)

# Ply Move MWC
• 1 3 20/14(2) 13/7(2) 55,42%
  0,784 0,112 0,001 - 0,216 0,019 0,000  
  2 3 20/8(2) 55,42% ( -0,00%)
  0,779 0,101 0,001 - 0,221 0,020 0,000  
  3 2 20/14(2) 8/2(2) 54,94% ( -0,48%)
  0,708 0,150 0,001 - 0,292 0,044 0,000  
  4 0 13/7(2) 8/2(2) 52,97% ( -2,45%)
  0,637 0,126 0,001 - 0,363 0,035 0,000  
  5 0 20/14(2) 13/1 52,97% ( -2,45%)
  0,652 0,111 0,001 - 0,348 0,057 0,001  

Move number 9: Johan Segers to play 41

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| '2O ' '4X '|   |4X '2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       4 1       | 1 |                 |
|4X ' '2O2O2O|   |4O1X '3O ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 136, Misja Alma 109
Position ID: HG8bDACY58EDAg Match ID: MAEmARAACAAA

• Johan Segers moves 13/9 6/5

# Ply Move MWC
  1 3 13/9 8/7 44,34%
  0,203 0,018 0,000 - 0,797 0,185 0,002  
• 2 3 13/9 6/5 44,29% ( -0,05%)
  0,204 0,019 0,000 - 0,796 0,183 0,002  
  3 2 8/7 8/4 44,39% ( 0,05%)
  0,204 0,025 0,000 - 0,796 0,185 0,002  
  4 2 8/4 6/5 44,38% ( 0,03%)
  0,208 0,026 0,000 - 0,792 0,186 0,002  
  5 2 13/8 44,37% ( 0,03%)
  0,199 0,023 0,000 - 0,801 0,191 0,001  

Move number 10: Misja Alma on roll, cube decision?

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| '2O '1X4X '|   |3X1X2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |                 |
|3X ' '2O2O2O|   |4O1X '3O ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 131, Misja Alma 109
Position ID: WOeFAwIcbxsMAA Match ID: cAkgARAACAAA

• Misja Alma doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0,10%)!

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless MWC 54,34%(Money: +0,757)
 0,796 0,183 0,002 - 0,204 0,019 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double 55,71% 
2.Double, take 58,26% 2,55%
3.Double, pass 55,61% -0,10%
Proper cube action:Too good to double, pass (3,8%)

 

Move number 11: Misja Alma doubles to 2

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| '2O '1X4X '|   |3X1X2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       [2]       |
|3X ' '2O2O2O|   |4O1X '3O ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Johan Segers 131, Misja Alma 109
Position ID: WOeFAwIcbxsMAA Match ID: cBEgARAACAAA

• Johan Segers rejects

Alert: wrong double ( -0,10%)!

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless MWC 54,34%(Money: +0,757)
 0,796 0,183 0,002 - 0,204 0,019 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double 55,71% 
2.Double, take 58,26% 2,55%
3.Double, pass 55,61% -0,10%
Proper cube action:Too good to double, pass (3,8%)

 

Misja Alma wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 3
PlayerJohan SegersMisja Alma
Checker play statistics
Total moves 5 4
Unforced moves 5 4
Unmarked moves 4 4
Moves marked doubtful 1 0
Moves marked bad 0 0
Moves marked very bad 0 0
Error total EMG (MWC) -0,076 ( -0,427%) +0,000 ( +0,000%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) -15,2 ( -0,085%) +0,0 ( +0,000%)
Chequerplay rating Intermediate Supernatural
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky 0 0
Rolls marked lucky 0 2
Rolls unmarked 5 2
Rolls marked unlucky 0 0
Rolls marked very unlucky 0 0
Luck total EMG (MWC) -0,111 ( -0,625%) +0,848 ( +4,754%)
Luck rate mEMG (MWC) -22,3 ( -0,125%) +212,0 ( +1,188%)
Luck rating Bad dice, man! Go to Las Vegas
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions 5 5
Close or actual cube decisions 1 4
Doubles 0 1
Takes 0 0
Passes 1 0
Missed doubles below CP (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Missed doubles above CP (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Wrong doubles below DP (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Wrong doubles above TG (EMG (MWC)) 0 1 (-0,018 ( -0,102%))
Wrong takes (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Wrong passes (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Error total EMG (MWC) +0,000 ( +0,000%) -0,018 ( -0,102%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) +0,0 ( +0,000%) -4,5 ( -0,025%)
Cube decision rating Supernatural World class
Overall statistics
Error total EMG (MWC) -0,076 ( -0,427%) -0,018 ( -0,102%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) -12,7 ( -0,071%) -2,3 ( -0,013%)
Snowie error rate -8,5 ( +0,000%) -2,0 ( +0,000%)
Overall rating Intermediate World class
Actual result -5,61% +5,61%
Luck adjusted result -0,23% +0,23%
Luck based FIBS rating diff. -2,62
Error based abs. FIBS rating 1872,8 2046,4
Chequerplay errors rating loss 177,2 0,0
Cube errors rating loss 0,0 3,6

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